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Visn. Nac. Akad. Nauk Ukr. 2016. (3):70-75
https://doi.org/10.15407/visn2016.03.070

B.E. Zhilyaev
Main Astronomical Observatory of National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine (Kyiv)

ASTEROIDS AS A FACTOR OF THREAT TO CIVILIZATION

Abstract:
The article briefly discusses some issues relating to the asteroid hazard and possible consequences of asteroid and comet collisions with Earth, analyzes the basic principles for calculating the probability of asteroid collisions with Earth. It is shown that the asteroid hazard limits the period of existence of civilizations in the range 50–100 kyr.

 

Language of article: ukrainian

 

REFERENCES

  1. Report of the Task Force on Potentially Hazardous Near Earth Objects. September 2000. http://spaceguardcentre.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/full_report.pdf.
  2. Near Earth Objects Program. http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risk.
  3. Handbook on probability calculations. Moscow: Voenizdat, 1970.